From Now on the state polls will be coming from both fivethirtyeight.com and from electoral-vote.com: (Note that the polls are never repeated twice, this may result in one site not giving us anything on any given day.) National Polls will come from fivethirtyeight.com only. Because the two sites are slightly different I will publish both national scenarios in separate posts daily. The "win percentage" means the percent likelyhood that one or the other of the candidates wins the electoral college.
Projections:
Electoral Vote Projection: 350.5 Obama- McCain 187.5
Win Percentage: 94.1% Obama- 5.9% McCain
Senate Projection: Dems 56.2- GOP 41.8
Popular Vote Projection: 52.0% Obama- 46.6% McCain
4 State Polls:
Colorado 52-42 Obama by 10California 56-40 Obama by 16
Nevada 47-45 Obama by 2
Pennsylvania 51-39 Obama by 12
5 National Polls:
Diageo/Hotline: 49-41 Obama by 7
Gallup: 50-43 Obama by 7
Rasmussen: 51-45 Obama by 6
Reasearch 2000: 53-40 Obama by 13
Zogby: 48.9-42.8 Obama by 6.1
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